USDA Export Forecasting with Shipping Data

Export Sales Report data is valuable to commodities traders and insurers alike, as it contains signal for forecasting returns. We leverage Causal AI and Shipfix shipping demand data to identify causal drivers of grain exports. Causal technology combined with Shipfix data improves advance forecasting of changes in grain Export Sales Report values, outperforming standard benchmarks by 12+%.

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We show that combining Causal AI with Shipfix Shipping Demand data improves advance forecasting of changes in grain Export Sales Report time series.